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The Northern Star Newsletter 1/16/20 - Further Gains for Stocks

4

Message from Jon


Market Update:

2020

The question that keeps coming up in meetings is, "What do you think the markets are going to do this year since it is an election year?" 

Well, I know that there are 5 issues or topics that we are keeping a steady eye on.

  • The impeachment process and if it carries The President out of office
  • The FED and if they raise rates aggressively
  • The Trade War and if it escalates
  • Concerns over Iran
  • Concerns over BREXIT 

At present, my opinion is that the likelihood of these issues getting worse in the near future and causing a sell-off and decline in the market is pretty low, but we are still aware of the fact that in this day and age, things could spin radically out of hand quickly.

With earnings seemingly stronger-or at least what I think is going to be a strong earnings season, there are little known headwinds that would cause this market to act out of normal operations, in our opinion. 

We are seeing our data and indications at present remaining in favor of equities and staying the course, and that is what we are going to do.

 

Till we speak again-enjoy the weather of gray, rainy and overcast!

Jon


Further Gains for Stocks

WEEKLY UPDATE - JANUARY 13, 2020


The Week on Wall Street

The market had a choppy five days, with traders reacting to geopolitical developments and weaker-than-expected jobs data. Even so, the three major U.S. equity indices posted weekly gains and continued their strong start to the new year. During Friday's trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 29,000 for the first time.

Rising 1.75% for the week, the Nasdaq Composite outgained both the Dow (up 0.66%) and the S&P 500 (up 0.94%). The story for foreign stocks was different: the MSCI EAFE index declined 0.30%.[1][2] 

  

Holiday Hiring Numbers

Wall Street was unimpressed by the latest jobs report from the Department of Labor. Employers added 145,000 net new workers in December; economists surveyed by Dow Jones had forecast a gain of 160,000. Wages grew less than 3% year-over-year for the first time in 17 months.

 

Unemployment remained at a 50-year low of 3.5%, however. The broader U-6 jobless rate, which also includes the underemployed, declined to 6.7%, the lowest in 26 years of recordkeeping.[3]

  

Oil Prices Decline

The rally in crude oil spurred by strained U.S.-Iran relations ebbed this past week. At Friday's closing bell, WTI crude was worth $59.04 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 6.36% for the week and 3.31% year-to-date.[4]

 

What's Ahead

A new earnings season starts Tuesday, with big banks leading off and reporting fourth-quarter results. Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will be in Washington, D.C., through Wednesday, and during his visit, he and President Trump are expected to sign the phase-one trade deal between the U.S. and China.[5]

       

THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Tuesday: The December Consumer Price Index, providing a look at inflation last month and for all of 2019.

Thursday: December retail sales figures from the Department of Commerce.

Friday: The University of Michigan's preliminary January Consumer Sentiment Index, assessing consumer confidence levels from multiple angles.

  

Source: MarketWatch, January 10, 2020

The MarketWatch economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Tuesday: Citigroup (C), Delta Air Lines (DAL), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC)

Wednesday: Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), United Health (UNH), US Bancorp (USB)

Thursday: Morgan Stanley (MS)

Friday: Schlumberger (SLB)

 

Source: Zacks, January 10, 2020

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Any investment should be consistent with your objectives, time frame and risk tolerance. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

Gray

Quote Of The Week

Fountain Pen


"Make the most of yourself by fanning the tiny, inner sparks of possibility into flames of achievement."

-Gola Meir

Recipe Of The Week

Fork and Knife

Hummus


Serves: 2-4 Ingredients:
  • One 15 oz. can of garbanzo beans (chickpeas), drained
     
  • ¼ cup of extra virgin olive oil
     
  • ¼ cup of lime juice
     
  • 2 Tbsp. tahini
     
  • 1 (or more, to taste) peeled clove of garlic, or equivalent minced garlic¼ tsp. cumin
     
  • 1 tsp. cayenne pepper
     
  • 1 tsp. paprika
Directions:
  1. Combine all ingredients, apart from spices, into blender; blend until smooth.
     
  2. Add spices and blend until evenly distributed.
     
  3. Looking for smoother consistency? Add a tablespoon of water and blend, as desired.
     
  4. Spicier? Add more cayenne, or other spices, to taste.

Recipe adapted from allrecipes.com[6]

Gray


Tax Tips

Document

Passport Power


Did you know that if you owe $52,000 or more to the Internal Revenue Service, the IRS can revoke your passport? That's right. Under the Fixing America's Surface Transportation (FAST) Act, the IRS has the power to revoke the passport of any taxpayer owing $52,000 or more, including penalties and interest.

 

Notably, if you are currently paying off the debt or are contesting a tax bill in court, you should not be affected. However, anyone under an IRS tax lien could find their ability to travel hampered.

 

If you have any questions about tax debts or other complex tax issues, contact a qualified attorney or tax specialist.


* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.



Adapted from IRS.gov[7]


Golf Tip

Golfer

Avoid Overthinking Greenside Bunker Shots

Getting out of a greenside bunker with a lip of 3' or less is really pretty simple. Some golfers try to micromanage or overthink the shot: they try to pick it off the sand, or they open their stance or their clubface to the point where they are altering their entire swing path.

 

Focus on basics rather than extremes. Open your stance a few degrees to the left (assuming you play right-handed), aim slightly left of your target, and work your feet into the sand and increase the flex in your knees. You want to come down about 2" behind the ball, accelerating through the impact area, so that you are essentially throwing the ball onto the green on a "carpet" or "spray" of sand. A sand wedge (54-60 degrees of loft) is the right tool for the job.



Tip adapted from Plum Creek Golf[8]

 

Healthy Lifestyle

Medical Cross

Reduce Your Risk of Getting Sick With One Simple Trick!


During the 2018-2019 flu season, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated that nearly 43 million people contracted the flu. The CDC says the best method of flu prevention is receiving the annual vaccine, but handwashing can also significantly reduce your risk of catching the flu as well as other contagious illnesses.

 

Just 20 seconds of briskly washing your hands with soap and rinsing under running water could lower your overall risk of respiratory illness by around 20%. Gastrointestinal ones, up to 30%. It's fast, easy, convenient, and very inexpensive, yet many of us take this healthy habit for granted. In fact, 81% of us don't regularly wash our hands after using the restroom. Yikes!

 

While this information should not substitute for medical advice from your health care provider, implementing better habits, like frequent handwashing, may be a good tool to help you and your loved ones stay healthier this flu season.



Tip adapted from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention[9]


Green Living

Leaf

Clean Out Electronic Clutter

If you were lucky enough to get an upgraded phone or computer this holiday season, you might not know what to do with the old one. Fortunately, there are many green options to get rid of your old electronics that are also good for the environment.

 

Old electronics that are still in good working order can be cleared of personal information and either donated or passed on to someone else who can use them.

 

Electronics not working well enough to be donated? Check out your local area for scheduled electronic waste recycling days. Special recycling centers in your area might also specifically deal with recycling electronics too.



Tip adapted from The Spruce.com[10]

Share the Wealth of Knowledge!

 

Please share this market update with family, friends, or colleagues. If you would like us to add them to our list, simply click on the "Forward email" link below. We love being introduced!

 

Gray 

Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values.

Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets.

International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies.

The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia.

The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.

Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.

Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

These are the views of Platinum Advisor Strategies, LLC, and not necessarily those of the named representative,
Broker dealer or Investment Advisor and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named representative nor the named Broker dealer or Investment Advisor gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please consult your financial advisor for further information.

By clicking on these links, you will leave our server, as the links are located on another server. We have not independently verified the information available through this link. The link is provided to you as a matter of interest. Please click on the links below to leave and proceed to the selected site.

[1] www.wsj.com/market-data
[2] quotes.wsj.com/index/XX/MSCI%20GLOBAL/990300/historical-prices

[3] www.cnbc.com/2020/01/10/us-nonfarm-payrolls-december-2019.html

[4] www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/crude%20oil%20-%20electronic

[5] www.cnbc.com/2020/01/09/chinas-vice-premier-liu-to-sign-us-trade-deal-in-washington-next-week.html

[6] www.allrecipes.com/recipe/240990/simple-spicy-hummus/

[7] www.irs.gov/newsroom/individuals-with-significant-tax-debt-should-act-promptly-to-avoid-revocation-of-passports

[8] www.plumcreekgolf.com/images/tips/Sand_Shots.pdf

[9] www.cdc.gov/flu/

[10] www.thespruce.com/get-the-facts-on-recycling-electronics-1708990

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Summit Financial Group
Summit Financial Group of Indiana
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