facebook twitter instagram linkedin google youtube vimeo tumblr yelp rss email podcast phone blog search brokercheck brokercheck

The Northern Star Newsletter 3/8/19 - S&P Ends Week Little Changed

Message from Jon


Market Update

 

The markets have responded fairly well, resulting in the FED walking back their aggressive "hawkish" tone to a much more "dovish" wait and see attitude. 1Added to this has been the news that there is progress on the Trade War talks with China. 2

We have begun to reintroduce clients to the markets, having sheltered them since the early 4th quarter. In my opinion, we may have 5-7, maybe 9 months before we may likely see signs of warning and the need to move to higher ground again, although, that all could change if the FED becomes more serious about interest rates, or the Trade discussions drag out longer than expected, or Brexit stalls again or worsens, or...

There are still challenges and concerns present, and as such, we remain cautious but not as much as previously.

On a personal note, we returned from a week of 84 and sunny to a week of 7 and gray...(sigh), but back in the saddle-time to get back to work!


Till we speak again, stay warm!

Jon

 

Sources:

  1. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4240892-rate-hike-pause-federal-reserve-change-tone
  2. https://www.npr.org/2019/02/24/697562568/trump-suspends-china-tariff-hike-citing-progress-in-trade-talks


S&P Ends Week Little Changed

WEEKLY UPDATE - MARCH 4, 2019

The Week on Wall Street
Stocks lost a little ground as February gave way to March. While domestic and overseas political developments made headlines, the market stayed relatively calm: from Monday's open through Friday's close, the S&P 500 ceded just 0.17%, finishing the week at 2,803.69.[1]

The Dow declined 0.65% in five trading sessions to 26,026.32, while the Nasdaq finished the week 0.06% higher at 7,595.35. The MSCI EAFE index of international stocks rose 0.24% for the week.[2][3][4]

Volatility has dropped in the past few weeks. Wall Street has grown less anxious about the possibility of new tariffs and higher interest rates this year.

Powell Shares His Outlook
Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told the Senate that Fed officials would take a "patient approach" with regard to future interest rate moves. Powell called the economy "healthy," but noted that "conflicting signals" have emerged in recent months; he said that he was not concerned about inflation picking up in response to wage growth.

After making four rate hikes in 2018 and forecasting two more for 2019, the Fed has adopted a "wait-and-see" approach to monetary policy in the new year.[5]  

Planned March Tariffs Delayed
Earlier in the week, President Trump opted to postpone the 15% increase in tariffs on many Chinese imports slated for the start of March. He did not announce a new deadline. Thursday, U.S. officials said the deadline had been suspended "until further notice."

As we noted two weeks ago, the White House had indicated that it might postpone new tariffs if substantial progress was made with China on trade talks.[6]

What's Next 
U.K. lawmakers will vote on a revised Brexit deal on March 12. If they reject it, they have two options left. They can either ask the European Union to push back the March 29 Brexit deadline or choose to leave the E.U. without a deal.[7]

Tax Reminder
March 15 is the deadline for most partnerships and S corporations to send in their 2018 federal tax returns or extensions. (Some states that tax corporate income set different due dates.)[8]

THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Tuesday: The latest new home sales numbers from the Census Bureau.
Wednesday: Payroll-processing giant ADP releases its February national employment report. 
Friday: The Department of Labor releases its February job market snapshot.

Source: Econoday / MarketWatch Calendar, March 1, 2019
The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision. The release of data may be delayed without notice for a variety of reasons, including the shutdown of the government agency or change at the private institution that handles the material.

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS
Monday: Salesforce (CRM)
Tuesday: Kohl's (KSS), Target (TGT), Urban Outfitters (URBN)
Wednesday: Abercrombie (ANF), Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Thursday: Burlington Stores (BURL), Costco (COST), Tech Data (TECD)

Source: Morningstar.com, March 1, 2019
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Any investment should be consistent with your objectives, time frame and risk tolerance. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.



"Happiness is not in the mere possession of money; it lies in the joy of achievement, in the thrill of creative effort." -  Franklin D. Roosevelt

Roasted Beets


Serves 4

Ingredients:
  • 3 medium beets
  • 1 Tbsp. olive oil (another vegetable oil or avocado oil will work)
  • Salt
  • Freshly ground black pepper
Directions:
  1. Put the rack in the middle of the oven and preheat to 375°F.
     
  2. Trim off any leafy tops (these are great for pets, like birds, rabbits, and turtles) and wash the beets.
     
  3. Drizzle beets with olive oil, season with salt and pepper, and wrap completely in aluminum foil.
     
  4. Roast for up to 1½ hours - until fork tender. Remove from the oven and let cool.
     
  5. Peel the beets (the skins come off easily), and then, drizzle with more olive oil, season with salt and pepper (to taste), and serve.
 Recipe adapted from Chowhound[9]  

Gray




Self-Employed Tax Obligations*

When you work for yourself, there are a few tax considerations to keep in mind. Generally, you're required to file and pay estimated taxes on a quarterly basis.

Determine if you are subject to tax: Subtract your business expenses from your business income. If your expenses are less than your income, the difference is part of your income. If your expenses are more than your income, the difference is a net loss. 

Make quarterly payments if you've determined you need to make quarterly payments using Form 1040-ES.

Filing annually: If you're filing annually, you'll need to use Schedule C to report income or loss. To file your Social Security and Medicare taxes, you should file Schedule SE Form 1040. 

Deductions: If you're using part of your home for business, then you may be able to make certain deductions, such as for your office or a portion of your home's square footage used for business purposes. Check out https://www.irs.gov/businesses for more information.


* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.



Tip adapted from IRS.gov[10]



Get a Grip


Getting back to basics can often be the best way to decrease your score.

Most golfers know that the "Vs" created by the index finger and the thumb of the left and right hands should be in alignment with the right shoulder. You would be surprised at how many golfers have trouble maintaining what was once considered a traditional hand position. For those who struggle with slices, the first adjustment to make is strengthening your grip - especially when your left hand is too far under the shaft. Once you've addressed your grip, always check if your left hand is turned to the right. Once you take up your stance, three knuckles on your left hand should be visible.

Conversely, a golfer who hooks should check that the left hand is not in a "strong" position where it is turned too much to the right.



Tip courtesy of Brian Jame | Golf Tips Magazine[11]



Simple Meditation for Clarity and Peace


Today's culture can seem overwhelming, and we can feel bombarded with information and stress. One way to find some inner peace is through meditation. It's a lot easier than you may think. If you practice, it's about the progress - not the perfection. In fact, the best barometer of success is just checking in to see how you feel after you meditate. Here are a few tips to get started: Prepare: Sit or lie down where you're comfortable. You can sit cross-legged with a straight spine (try sitting on a pillow or folded blanket to straighten your spine) or lie down in a place with few distractions. Set a timer: ten minutes is a good starting point. Focus: Close your eyes, focus on your breathing, and bring your attention to your "third-eye" area, at the middle brow. If your mind wanders, try to gently bring your attention back to your breathing. Finish: Notice how you feel when you're finished. Your primary objective is to simply clear your mind and experience what that clarity feels like.



Tip adapted from https://www.jackcanfield.com[12]



It's Electric - Driving Clean

There are so many benefits to the economy, the environment, and even your wallet when you drive a plug-in electric or hybrid vehicle. You can realize savings in costs, emissions, and energy security in the U.S.

Costs
The purchase price can be more for plug-in electric or hybrid vehicles, but with technological advances in the batteries that power these cars, costs are decreasing. Additionally, clean-car batteries are lasting up to 15 years in moderate climates.

Fuel Economy
Electric vehicles usually have better fuel economy and lower fuel costs than comparable conventional vehicles. For example, the 2018 Honda Accord Hybrid has an EPA combined city-and-highway fuel economy estimate of 47 miles per gallon, while the estimate for the conventional 2018 Accord (four-cylinder automatic) is 33 miles per gallon.

Support of Energy Security
Transportation accounts for about three-fourths of U.S. petroleum consumption and about 20% of that petroleum was imported in 2017. Driving energy efficient vehicles reduces reliance on foreign-transported petroleum. Electric vehicles use energy produced in the U.S., which comes from natural gas, coal, nuclear energy, and renewable energy sources.



Tip adapted from The Alternative Fuels Data Center[13]

Share the Wealth of Knowledge!

Please share this market update with family, friends, or colleagues. If you would like us to add them to our list, simply click on the "Forward email" link below. We love being introduced!

Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets. International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896. The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. 

The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. These are the views of Platinum Advisor Strategies, LLC, and not necessarily those of the named representative, Broker dealer or Investment Advisor, and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named representative nor the named Broker dealer or Investment Advisor gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. Please consult your financial advisor for further information. By clicking on these links, you will leave our server, as the links are located on another server. We have not independently verified the information available through this link. The link is provided to you as a matter of interest. Please click on the links below to leave and proceed to the selected site. 



[1] quotes.wsj.com/index/SPX

[2] quotes.wsj.com/index/DJIA

[3] quotes.wsj.com/index/NASDAQ

[4] quotes.wsj.com/index/XX/990300/historical-prices

[5] www.usatoday.com/story/money/2019/02/26/fed-interest-rates-powell-says-fed-patient-weighs-hikes/2986104002/

[6] www.cnn.com/2019/02/28/business/us-china-trade-war-tariffs/index.html

[7] www.cnbc.com/2019/02/27/brexit-guide-to-what-happens-next.html

[8] www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2018/03/06/march-15-is-tax-deadline-for-s-corp-and-partnership-extensions-and-elections-2

[9] www.chowhound.com/recipes/basic-roasted-beets-11100

[10] https://www.irs.gov/businesses/small-businesses-self-employed/self-employed-individuals-tax-center [11] www.golftipsmag.com/instruction/general/get-the-correct-golf-grip/
[12]  www.jackcanfield.com/blog/how-to-meditate/

[13] afdc.energy.gov/fuels/electricity_benefits.html

Securities offered through Regulus Advisors, LLC. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Regal Investment Advisors, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Regulus Advisors and Regal Investment Advisors are affiliated entities. Summit Retirement Advisors, LLC and Summit Financial Group of Indiana are affiliated entities. Summit Retirement Advisors, LLC and Summit Financial Group of Indiana are independent of Regulus Advisors and Regal Investment Advisors.

Check the background of this firm/advisor on FINRA’s BrokerCheck.