Weekly Market Insights: 11-3-21 Earnings Build; GDP Slows
Here is information we are paying attention to right now-
On Wednesday the Federal Reserve will announce its plans for tapering their asset purchases via their quantitative easing program. It is possible they may also begin tapering immediately.
The $500 billion infrastructure bill and $1.85 billion Biden Plan remain in limbo as progressive and moderate Democrats continue to disagree on scope of bill. In latest version of the Biden Plan, there are no changes to individual tax rates below earners with $10 million plus in income. There are also no changes to corporate tax rates.
Spending would be over multiple years and have much less impact than the last 4 stimulus bills passed since the beginning of the Covid Pandemic.
Q3 Earnings season has been slightly better than expected as most companies have been able to boost prices faster than elevated costs. However, outlooks from companies still providing forecasts have for the most part underperformed expectations as cost increases from higher wages, transportation, and energy start to bite.
Till we speak again, enjoy your week.
General Market Commentary
A fresh wave of positive corporate earnings surprises sent markets to new record highs last week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.40%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 rose 1.33%. The Nasdaq Composite index picked up 2.71% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, was up 0.68%.1,2,3
Earnings Drive Market
The week kicked off with the Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 index setting record highs as the financial markets carried over the previous week’s price momentum.4
Stocks continued to climb on a string of forecast-beating earnings results. With about half of the S&P 500 constituent companies having reported earnings, more than 80% of them have beaten Wall Street analysts’ consensus estimates. Based on these results, earnings for all S&P 500 companies are expected to come in approximately 39% above the third quarter of last year. (Forecasts are based on assumptions, and may not materialize.) Stocks overcame disappointing earnings from two mega-cap tech names on Friday to maintain the week’s solid gains.5
GDP Growth Slows
While businesses managed to post strong earnings in the third quarter, the first look at economic growth came in below consensus estimates. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a 2.0% annualized rate in the third quarter, a slowdown from the two previous quarters, each of which posted annualized growth rates in excess of 6%.6
The spread of the Delta variant and backlogs in the supply chain were two major factors dragging on economic activity.
This Week: Key Economic Data
Monday: ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing Index.
Wednesday: ADP (Automated Data Processing) Employment Report. Factory Orders. ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Services Index. FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Announcement.
Thursday: Jobless Claims.
Friday: Employment Situation.
Source: Econoday, October 29, 2021The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Monday: Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG).
Tuesday: Pfizer, Inc. (PFE), Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI), Amgen, Inc. (AMGN), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), ConocoPhillips (COP), Prudential Financial (PRU), Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), TMobile US, Inc. (TMUS), The Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (EL).
Wednesday: CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Qualcomm, Inc. (QCOM), Electronic Arts (EA), Humana, Inc. (HUM), Booking Holdings, Inc. (BKNG), Match Group, Inc. (MTCH), Emerson Electric (EMR).
Thursday: Square, Inc. (SQ), Albemarle Corporation (ALB), Southern Companies (SO), Cigna Corporation (CI), Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (REGN).
Friday: DraftKings, Inc. (DKNG).
Source: Zacks, October 29, 2021Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
“And as we let our own light shine, we unconsciously give other people permission to do the same.”
– Nelson Mandela
Do a Paycheck Checkup
Every year, the IRS suggests doing what it calls a “Paycheck Checkup.” Check your withholding status if you:
Get married or divorced
Give birth to or adopt a child
Buy a house
File for bankruptcy
Get a new job or lose a job
The IRS also suggests checking on any streams of taxable income that are not subject to withholding, such as interest, dividends, capital gains, self-employment income, or retirement plan distributions. You also should check your withholding if you’ve experienced changes to your medical expenses, taxes, charitable gifts, education credits, dependent care expenses, and more. These life changes might affect your deductions or tax credits. Paycheck Checkups may help you better manage the process of filing taxes.
* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.
Tip adapted from IRS.gov7
Rest, Relaxation, and Healthy Nutrition
Here are some tips on how to stay healthy, even during holiday trips:
Before heading to the airport, pack a snack box of fruits, veggies, nuts, lean proteins, and healthy bars. This way, you won’t be tempted by chips and soda while you wait for your flight.
Get plenty of sleep. Just like at home, it’s really important to get a good night’s sleep while traveling. Sleep helps your body reset for the next day and will help you maintain your weight.
Take your vitamins to ensure you’re at your best. A daily pill organizer can help you remember to take them, even while traveling.
There’s no reason why you must sacrifice all your hard work and healthy habits while visiting family or heading to warmer destinations during the holidays. If anything, continuing a healthy lifestyle while traveling will help you have even more fun!
Tip adapted from Travel & Leisure8
By rearranging the letters in the phrase VIEWING A STIR, you can make the name of a U.S. state. What state is it?
Last week’s riddle: If you add 1.5 to this number, you will get the same result as you would if you multiplied it by 1.5. What number is it? (Hints: It is a whole number, it is not zero, and it is between 1 and 10.)? Answer: 3.
Zimbabwean side of Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe, Southern Africa.
Footnotes and Sources
1. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
2. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
3. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
4. CNBC, October 24, 2021
5. CNBC, October 28, 2021
6. The Wall Street Journal, October 28, 2021
7. IRS.gov, January 22, 2021
8. travelandleisure.com, June 24, 2021
Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.
The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.
The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.
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