In our investment calls this week, Tyler and I spoke about a number of topics from adding holdings to our strategies, to reducing equity exposure in Biotech to being patient in the rebalancing of accounts or adding new cash injections. We have been here before, where we both agree that the market cycle is entering into or is already in the 4th quarter where we feel a shift unfolding.
The yield on the 10-year has risen substantially. The re-opening of the economy has already been priced in, to a large part, especially within the Hotel, Hospitality and Restaurants areas. We are not yet seeing any yield curve control efforts by the FED, but should we continue to see the yield rise, our expectations are that they will try to exert some kind of measure to cool down the inflationary risks. Does this come with a guarantee? Of course not.
It would not be much of a surprise to see a correction coming up, as a matter of fact, we could probably use one to release some of this pent-up demand, but until then, we must be patient, look for opportunities and seize them when they appear while making sure they truly are opportunities and not illusions…shall I mention GME here to prove the point?
Have a great weekend!
General Market Commentary
Overcoming a rocky start, stocks rallied into the close of a holiday-shortened week of trading as technology shares staged a powerful recovery and investors reacted positively to President Biden’s infrastructure spending proposal.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.24%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 picked up 1.14%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index rose 2.60%. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, slipped 0.43%.1,2,3
S&P 500 Hits 4,000
Monday opened with two banks reporting they face losses due to the default of a small U.S. hedge fund. That news, combined with rising yields, higher new cases of COVID-19, and a public warning of new virus variants, started the week off on an unsettled note.4
Despite the shaky start, upbeat economic reports helped spark a rally that was paced by gains in the technology sector. The market also reacted positively on Wednesday to the introduction of a $1.9 trillion infrastructure proposal.
Stocks closed out the week with an exclamation mark, with the S&P 500 Index closing above 4,000 for the first time.5
Hedge Fund Woes
Last week’s trading opened on news that a U.S.-based investor was forced to unwind positions in multiple Chinese technology companies and American media holdings.
A number of large banks saw their share prices fall early in the week, reflecting concerns about their exposure to the hedge fund losses. Meanwhile, investors grappled with whether this was a one-off event or the opening act for additional hedge fund issues. As the week wore on, it appeared the hedge-fund issues were an isolated event.4
This Week: Key Economic Data
Monday: Factory Orders.Tuesday: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).Wednesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes.Thursday: Jobless Claims.Source: Econoday, April 1, 2021The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Tuesday: Paychex, Inc. (PAYX).Thursday: Constellation Brands (STZ), Conagra Brands (CAG).Source: Zacks, April 1, 2021Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
“The fool doth think he is wise, but the wise man knows himself to be a fool.”
– William Shakespeare
More Digital Choices Means Contact-Free Filing
The IRS is making it easier to file your taxes contact-free.Forms offer an electronic signature choice, meaning that tax professionals can conduct remote transactions.
To allow your tax professional to use the electronic signature, you must fill out Form 2848, Power of Attorney and Declaration of Representative. This form is a written authorization appointing the tax professional to represent the taxpayer before the IRS, including performing certain acts on the taxpayer's behalf. These acts can include an e-signature.
* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.
Tip adapted from IRS.gov6
Hydrate the Healthy Way
Trying to kick a soda habit, but are sick of water? There are lots of fun and healthy ways to make your water taste better to encourage yourself to drink more. Here are some easy ways to spice up your normal water:
Add slices of fresh fruit, such as lemons, limes, or oranges. Not only will these fresh fruits make your water taste better, but you may also enjoy some of the benefits of these citrus powerhouses.
Add some sliced cucumber to your water to instantly feel like you're being pampered. Who needs the spa when you have a nice glass of cucumber water sitting at your desk?
Try some sugar-free, low-calorie water sweeteners. This is a great option for those of us who have a sweet tooth and crave soda but are trying to drink more water instead.
Mix it up with sparkling water or seltzer if you miss the fizz of soda. Most sparkling waters are calorie-free or low in calories and they keep you hydrated.
You should be drinking at least half of your body weight in ounces of water a day. What are some of your favorite ways to make water more exciting?
Tip adapted from Baton Rouge Clinic7
What can be seen in the middle of March and April, that can't be seen in the beginning or end of either month?
Last week’s riddle: Christine likes grapes but not potatoes. She likes squash but not lettuce, and peas but not onions. Following the same rule, will she like pumpkins or apples? Answer: Pumpkins. Christine only likes things that grow on vines.
Saguaro cactus at sunset in the Superstition Mountains, Phoenix, Arizona.
Footnotes and Sources
1. The Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2021
2. The Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2021
3. The Wall Street Journal, April 1, 2021
4. Fortune.com, March 29, 2021
5. CNBC, April 1, 2021
6. IRS.gov, February 2, 2021
7. Batonrougeclinic.com, August 28, 2019
Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.
The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.
The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.
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